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TETCO M2 Basis (Receipts)

TETCO M2 Basis (Receipts) · ICE FUTURES ENERGY DIV · CFTC code 0233DR · week ending 2026-10-06

Trader category
Range

Managed Money is net long 6.4% of open interest — a crowded long

Managed Money holds a net position of 35,858 contracts, or 6.4% of the 556,462 contracts of open interest, leaving the category net long. That is more than two standard deviations above its three-year average — positioning is stretched, and stretched positioning is fuel for a sharp unwind if the narrative changes (z = +2.17 and sits at 100 on a 0–100 scale of its three-year range). In contracts, the net position moved +2,352 while open interest moved −23,325 — short covering, with the move coming from shorts closing out rather than new buyers arriving. That is +0.66pp as a share of open interest.

Net position as a share of open interest

Managed Money · blue above the line is net long, red below is net short

Open interest

The denominator. Positioning shares mean little without knowing whether the market itself is growing or shrinking.

Z-score vs its own 3-year history

Shaded beyond ±2σ. Measures how unusual today's share is for this market.

COT Index (0–100)

Rank within the 3-year range. Shaded below 10 and above 90.

Weekly flow, adjusted for open interest

Change in the net share week over week, in percentage points of open interest.

Who is on the other side

Net share of open interest by trader group. The groups net to zero — every long is someone's short.

Producer / Merchant Swap Dealer Managed Money Other Reportable Non-Reportable
Recent weeks (table view)
Week Open interest Net Net % OI Δ pp Z COT Idx
2026-10-06 556,462 35,858 6.44% 0.66 2.17 100
2026-09-29 579,787 33,506 5.78% 0.16 1.86 100
2026-09-22 572,972 32,196 5.62% 0.07 1.81 99
2026-09-15 567,712 31,498 5.55% -0.16 1.80 98
2026-09-08 561,103 32,020 5.71% 0.90 1.92 100
2026-09-01 579,306 27,864 4.81% 0.03 1.46 91
2026-08-25 576,413 27,576 4.78% -0.46 1.46 91
2026-08-18 554,933 29,105 5.24% -0.13 1.74 98
2026-08-11 541,984 29,109 5.37% 0.51 1.84 100
2026-08-04 566,816 27,529 4.86% -0.16 1.58 97
2026-07-28 558,545 28,040 5.02% 0.32 1.70 99
2026-07-21 540,198 25,411 4.70% -0.00 1.55 94